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#525348 - 11/07/03 02:49 PM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 07/06/99
Posts: 2043
Loc: Indianapolis
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Originally posted by Samuel Catalino:
Well I beg to differ with you on the manufacturing plant in Marion. I suspect that will go the same way as is Carmel is. When they make announcements like that, I can see the coming storm.
http://idsnews.com/story.php?id=19494
I think you will see more exodus of plants to overseas. You asked where the TVs were being made, a least some picture tubes are in Marion, IN. I suspect we'll see more mfg go abroad as well. Interesting though, how things work, since RCA is (or was until this China deal) a French company (Thomson). Funny how this job shifting stuff works out.
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#525349 - 11/08/03 08:10 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 04/04/99
Posts: 4447
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Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: What sophistry. Just so we're clear on what Laissez-fair is, here's a dictionary definition:
1 : a doctrine opposing governmental interference in economic affairs beyond the minimum necessary for the maintenance of peace and property rights 2 : a philosophy or practice characterized by a usually deliberate abstention from direction or interference especially with individual freedom of choice and action It might have been sophistry had I relied on the direct French (to let do)translation for laissez-faire, but as we are discussing the economy, the definition is that a government has a role to setting the rules---a system of law establishing and defining contract and property rights, ensure for national defense, and provide certain goods the private sector can or would not provide. Immigration is not part of the equation of this. Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Yes immigration is a function of government, but let's be honest here, with few exceptions, the reasons for immigration (religious freedom/political asylum) are economic. Thus any immigration policy has an effect on the economy. Further specific proof lies in the fact that these visas are for guest workers. They are visas obtained with the aid of employers, of course it's economic. Finally, the word "immigrant" implies one seeking permanent residence. These visas, while administered by immigration officials, are of a temporary nature.
Sam, you bemoan "overregulation" and desire "breaks" for business that foreign nations give that we don't. Would you mind specifying some of these?
For example, would you like to see the minimum wage repealed? an elimination or reduction in workplace safety rules? an elimination or reduction in pollution regulations? and elimination or reduction of corporate income taxes? What kind of breaks do you want to see? Trade barriers? Direct cash subsidies? Immigration is just that. Immigration. Either you are a citizen or you are not. It is because of the lack of immigration controls we ended up with 9/11. Certain rules and laws were set up specifically for this, and that certainly does not reflect a laissez-faire economy to me as it creates government inteference when market forces should be in play, right? Would you not agree that these visa laws are contrary to market forces given it was government forces that brought them into play?
Now for your questions. Minimum wage? I believe it is the useless thing I have ever seen. If you favor the concept, there are so many ways around it, it boggles the mind. Elimination or reduction of safety rules? Everything comes with a cost to it. If a foreign firm does not practice such, then the cost should be attached to their imported product. I do feel there are some rules are a bit over the top though, and are very costly. Moderation is needed. The same applies for pollution controls. I have heard enough of junk science, but we do have a responsibility to protect our people. The same applies to foreign firms, if they do not practice it, the cost should be attached to their product, otherwise, we are hypocrites to permit other human beings suffer in their own countries for their leaders short-sightedness.
Do other foreign companies pay corporate income taxes? I have never been in favor of income taxes, rather consumption taxes. I shall never see that in our lifetime.
Government should work in concert with businesses, these days you are prohibited from doing things with your own property and that is not just with businesses, it is with personal property. Mineral rights for one thing. I could go on
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"If we lose a hundred troops a week, then Dean will be our next Prez." Jack V, avid Dean supporter with no concern for the troops.
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#525350 - 11/08/03 08:15 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 04/04/99
Posts: 4447
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Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Well to me, when you said "There are more characters worse than Firestorm, The Red Tornado comes to mind." I took that as a weak refutation of the idea that Firestorm was a weak character. Perhaps I was too much in a debate posture and was looking for a clash of ideas. If that wasn't your intention, then I misread you. On Chaykin, you did give an opinion before moving on, so I was off base there. It was not intended as a challenge or clash of ideas. It was just a comment, nothing more, nothing less
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"If we lose a hundred troops a week, then Dean will be our next Prez." Jack V, avid Dean supporter with no concern for the troops.
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#525351 - 11/08/03 08:28 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 04/04/99
Posts: 4447
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Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Re: Honda and Toyota plants. Actually Sam, I don't know it. I was operating under the assumption that they were looking to reduce transportation cost, and had found a relatively cheap place to build, and a large labor force (due to displacements in agriculture and textiles). I'd be willing to entertain the idea, but I honestly don't recall reading about government pressure. Do you have a citation so I can educate myself? Other than I saw this happening back in the early 80s, I offer one tidbit I found: http://www.ofii.org/newsroom/news/020715bw.cfm
Slip down to factory innovation to the building of the Honda plant in 1982.
I do recall a lot of political pressure being brought to bear on the foreign companies to come here to build their cars and this was a brilliant move on the companies' part.
I am sure if you searched the internet and did some research you will find more.
_________________________
"If we lose a hundred troops a week, then Dean will be our next Prez." Jack V, avid Dean supporter with no concern for the troops.
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#525352 - 11/08/03 08:50 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 04/04/99
Posts: 4447
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Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Well Sam, anecdotally we know that they are well educated to serve as replacements for white collar functions in IT, engineering and financial services. Secondly, there are something like 1 billion Indians, there are 650 million literate Indians, the US has a population of about 300 million and a 97% literacy rate, so 291 million literate Americans. There are more than twice as many literate Indians as there are Americans, even if the average Indian is less literate than the average American. If even a fraction of Indians are educated enough to compete with Americas in white collar professions, it can still be a very large number. If we assume all the H1-B and L-1 Visa holders are Indian, we know from the stats that it's less than 1/1000th of the Indian population. It was an example about their education system, and the issue that because of numbers that makes a difference is an exercise in futility being that they have more than three times our population. I have seen many of these workers in action, and that the companies generally hire three of four to replace every U. S. worker. They are then trained by the displaced U.S. workers, and work many hours and I have seen production projects that they have worked on blow up in production and have to be pulled from production. This has been my observation and I have seen these people in action in three different companies. Now there are some people who have seen different results, but I have never seen it and many managers I know would not use them. That does not mean that I have not met talented IT professionals from India, but they are far and few between, which is why they come in swarms. Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: You've harped on the fact that the Indians aren't as good, "you get what you pay for". I think this weakens your argument. This is analogous to an auto maker using a cheaper alloy to cut cost, the car may not be as good, but it can be a viable trade off if the marketplace accepts it. The employer gets a lower quality for a lower price. Same thing as when I go to Outback instead of Ruth's Chris. That is true, and it is the people who are left behind who have to clean up their mess and scramble and work many hours to fix the problems. Of course, when you are an exempt employee, that could be many hours and that diminishes their productivity. As you know, the cost of poor IT planning, lack thereof of products going out into the marketplace don't often hit until the lawsuits fly in and the company loses them because of neglience. I never cared for either Outback or Ruth's Crisp, both were on the same level as far as I am concerned. Ruth's was overpriced for what they provide, and Outback is just another steak house. It goes back to the old story you go to high class restaraunts to be insulted.... Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Regarding the lack of benefits paid to these employees, isn't that part of what makes their cost lower? Should the American firm be able to cut benefits to its employees to cut costs? After all, a laissez-faire bias tells us this should be the case. Sure it does. Laissez-faire economy does not cover immigration policies, so you extend the definition of the term. As for cutting benefits to U.S. citizens who are employed, many companies are already doing that. Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Sez you. The only problems I see are due to the ever increasing inequality of incomes due to the government abandoning its redistributive bias. A redistributive bias that would violate your lassiez-faire definition, right? Perhaps I am confused with your views on this topic, and you could explain this. The problem is that no one is looking at the long run because of the view that in the long run we are all dead. We have a lot of short sighted folks that don't observe the trends, and as a country we shall pay for it as our economic power diminishes this century.
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"If we lose a hundred troops a week, then Dean will be our next Prez." Jack V, avid Dean supporter with no concern for the troops.
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#525353 - 11/08/03 10:21 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 04/04/99
Posts: 4447
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Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: First of all, I think it's ludicrous to suggest that none of the telecom job losses have been cyclical. Second, you won't find me supporting the merger activity in the telecom sector. Since the early 80s the government has been abrogating its anti-trust responsibilities, an action that I find to be completely wrong headed. I'm a big believer in markets, but for markets to work properly they can't be distorted by monopoly power. That being said, if the firms are able to maintain output with fewer workers, then that is an efficiency gain, but in a monopolistic environment that gain will end up in the hands of the few at the top. This is why I favor redistributive policies on the part of the government. Take those millions and fund R&D. Well, being that I have worked in the Telcom industry for six of the last ten years, I believe I know what has been cyclical and what hasn't. I don't see it as anything but the collapse of deceitful practices of WorldCom and MCI, and that is where most of the hemorahaging seems to be taking place. The rest are in the mergers. It hasn't been as cyclical as you make out unless you think what happened to WorldCom and MCI is cyclical. Of course I see the direct effects of merger with Verizon and you will note that their stock is still in trouble. What kind of redistributive polices are you talking about? Please explain.
_________________________
"If we lose a hundred troops a week, then Dean will be our next Prez." Jack V, avid Dean supporter with no concern for the troops.
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#525354 - 11/08/03 10:32 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 04/04/99
Posts: 4447
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Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Yeah, its possible. The odd thing about this latter recession is that we haven't seen a lot of slack in consumer spending. I'd be more convinced of your analysis if I saw it with some statistics on general durable good spending. My guess is that we had a mixture of exuberance over 0% financing (there is no such thing, bring your own financing you get a cash discount, funny how that works), and rational advance purchasing to take advantage of low interest rates (see also the housing market). That is the puzzle facing many "experts" as to why the jobs are not being created with no slack of consumer spending.
_________________________
"If we lose a hundred troops a week, then Dean will be our next Prez." Jack V, avid Dean supporter with no concern for the troops.
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#525355 - 11/08/03 12:04 PM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 04/04/99
Posts: 4447
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Originally posted by Dean R Milburn: Well the unemployment statistics are tricky for several reasons. For one thing they tend to be understated because they excluded "discouraged workers", you have to actually be looking for work to be counted in both the numerator and denominator of the calculation. So we actually had a month recently, where the number of working Americans declined, but so did the unemployment rate because so many had "dropped out" of the labor market. I don't think too many economists are perplexed by the lingering high unemployment. We have a situation where even though the economy is growing, it is not growing fast enough to create net new jobs. The expansion is happening because of productivity growth from those folks who are working. Most estimates I've seen indicate a need for sustained growth at 6-7% for 12-18 months before the unemployment rate will come down. There is still job cutting taking place, the latest spike of 170,000 for the month of October. You must not be reading the same papers as I am...
As for the weak unemployment numbers, he said the recovery in the job market is taking longer than expected.
"In the past, the unemployment has been more blue-collar, and people laid off were more likely to be brought back when the economy picked up," said McTeer. "This one has been more white-collar than ever."
Maybe you should read this....from where the above came from... http://money.cnn.com/2003/10/07/news/economy/mcteer/
Of course the job cutting isn't finished yet....
_________________________
"If we lose a hundred troops a week, then Dean will be our next Prez." Jack V, avid Dean supporter with no concern for the troops.
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#525356 - 11/10/03 09:41 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 07/06/99
Posts: 2043
Loc: Indianapolis
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Originally posted by Samuel Catalino:
Other than I saw this happening back in the early 80s, I offer one tidbit I found: http://www.ofii.org/newsroom/news/020715bw.cfm
Slip down to factory innovation to the building of the Honda plant in 1982.
I do recall a lot of political pressure being brought to bear on the foreign companies to come here to build their cars and this was a brilliant move on the companies' part.
I am sure if you searched the internet and did some research you will find more.I honestly wasn't aware of that. (I was 13 in 1982, and not living in that region). Still it seems from the thrust of that one article, that what was done begrudgingly is now being done rather willingly. Also note that the article supports my points about innovation and design taking place in this country and how an workers in industries that have moved abroad (particularly textiles in this case) have moved on to new jobs, often at higher salaries than before.
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#525357 - 11/10/03 10:57 AM
Re: Nutty laws in Vermont....?
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Member
Registered: 07/06/99
Posts: 2043
Loc: Indianapolis
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Originally posted by Samuel Catalino: Immigration is just that. Immigration. Either you are a citizen or you are not. It is because of the lack of immigration controls we ended up with 9/11. Certain rules and laws were set up specifically for this, and that certainly does not reflect a laissez-faire economy to me as it creates government inteference when market forces should be in play, right? Would you not agree that these visa laws are contrary to market forces given it was government forces that brought them into play? Immigration/foreign worker policies are inherently economic policies. A true laissez-faire immigration policy would be to allow for companies to hire as many workers as they wanted from whatever country they wanted to hire them. The onlyr restrictions on enterying the country would be national security (in a narrow sense of terrorism, espionage, etc). Thus the existence of the H1-B, and L-1 visa programs are actually limits on immigration, and as such interfere with the marketplace. You apparently favor increasing those restrictions, thus I claim you aren't favoring laissez-faire in this case. Nothing wrong with being anti-lassez-faire in and of itself, I just want to know where you stand. By limiting access to foreign workers, the government is shrinking the available supply of labor, which has the effect of raising the price of labor, which would tend to have the effect of raising real prices and reducing output. Thus we have fewer goods available to the public, at a higher price. Thus the cost of the higher pay is spread out over the entire economy. We've effectively redistributed wealth from everybody else, to those who benefit from the lack of guest workers. Now for your questions. Minimum wage? I believe it is the useless thing I have ever seen. If you favor the concept, there are so many ways around it, it boggles the mind. Minimum wage has been fairly useless in recent times, because it's really not high enough to induce many people to take jobs at that rate. Certainly during the late 90s, it wasn't much in play, since you could make more than that flipping burgers, and all those places were hiring. There is a tradeoff involved at the minimum wage, fewer jobs are created, but those that are, pay that minimum (and at 5.15 per hour, that's less than 11,000 per year). So long as the government provides assistence to those displaced by the minimum wage (and at that level to people living on it) I don't have much of a problem. I can't remember the exact papers, but there is evidence that the minimum wage works as a floor that helps prop all wages up. Of course your anti-guest worker position, is effectively introducing a minimum wage for those in the affected sectors. A higher wage is obtained through restriction of the labor supply in either case. Elimination or reduction of safety rules? Everything comes with a cost to it. If a foreign firm does not practice such, then the cost should be attached to their imported product. I do feel there are some rules are a bit over the top though, and are very costly. Moderation is needed.
The same applies for pollution controls. I have heard enough of junk science, but we do have a responsibility to protect our people. The same applies to foreign firms, if they do not practice it, the cost should be attached to their product, otherwise, we are hypocrites to permit other human beings suffer in their own countries for their leaders short-sightedness. Okay, this is the sort of thing I wanted to get to. It's what I figured your formulation of fair trade was, but I didn't want to assume facts not in evidence. In and of itself, it seems reasonable, and frankly to some extent I would go for this, but there are problems. 1. Determining the size of the penalty/tariff. How do we determine the cost of the lack of safety/pollution regulations? Markets are good for determining prices, but we've taken the market out of the equation. Set the target too low, and the foreign oligarchs will continue to abuse their populace, because the cost of the tariff is less than the cost of not doing the damage. Set the target too high, and you will cause the foreign nation will underproduce, and US firms will realize a windfall in the form of higher prices. 2. The justice of the issue, you are asking US consumers to pay the increased price of goods to protect foreign workers. 3. Under those policies we'd need to be ready to take a hit when Europe asks us to maintain its standards. Do other foreign companies pay corporate income taxes? I have never been in favor of income taxes, rather consumption taxes. I shall never see that in our lifetime. I honestly don't know what the tax policies of our many trading partners. Consumptions taxes are a good idea provided they aren't regressive in nature. Americans on average spend almost all their income (the net savings rate is near zero), a consumption tax might help to stimulate savings (which would have a short term negative impact on GDP), but unless it was progressive in structure or was combined with some form of wealth tax (tax on assets, not income), it would lead to the rich (who do save) accumulating even more wealth. Government should work in concert with businesses, these days you are prohibited from doing things with your own property and that is not just with businesses, it is with personal property. Mineral rights for one thing. I could go on So should the government be able to restrict who I hire to man my property in a production process? Ultimately, I think this - A market based system, with its attendant characteristics and problems is the best way to create wealth. Because of that I think we should have as few distortions as possible to the workings of the market. But, I recognize that markets are imperfect. They naturally create winners and losers, and since the property rights and protections that allow the winners to win derive from society, then society has the responsibility to look out for the losers. Of course what makes markets so innovative is the innovation and efficiency that competition inspire, thus all attempts to lessen competion should be avoided.
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