I think "every plot point telegraphed" is the kind of criticism that's easy to toss out there about any show or movie you dislike.
Goth girlfriend = drug overdose (what happened to Jesse's MILF interest?)
New girlfriend with kid and kid brother = both kids get endangered/killed
Three buddies dealing = fodder for turf war (I was expecting two out of three)
Old boss = affair
Bookkeeping errors in old boss' company = spills over into Walt's money issues
Some expected cliché's didn't pan out — Jesse's little brother was never endangered, Marie didn't have an affair with Hank's physical therapist (they re-ran the klepto stuff instead), Walt Jr. didn't pick up on the meth — so kudos for that, but others were drawn out further than they needed to be (as one example: the issue of laundering Walt's money could have been handled more simply by filtering it through Beneke, which would have made for a more interesting love triangle by not necessitating turning Beneke into a moron).
My Name is Earl
It sounds good, but I can't think of any television show I've seen you couldn't say the same thing about.
surprised me almost every episode.
I've no idea what the shifting allegiances comment means
Constantly having to wonder who wants to kill whom and why gets old really quickly. Actually having a character say the words, "You can't/won't
kill me," is only topped by that old invitation for explication, "But I don't understand," as the most hackneyed piece of dialogue ever.